Brazil's attacking firepower gives them the edge, with Vinícius Jr leading a fluid front line and Endrick stretching the last line. France's strength lies in their counter-attacks and Mbappé's pace; Brazil are likely to control possession, but France could punish them on the break. The model leans Brazil on the balance of chance creation and territory.

• Brazil are 78% likely to score first.
• High chance of 10+ shots for Brazil in this match.
• France are most dangerous in the second half (60'–75').
• Set pieces could be the deciding factor.