Match Prediction
How the Model Sees It Unfold
- Mbappé · Dembélé⚽23’
- Koné41’
- 56’Zubimendi
- Rabiot67’
- 78’⚽Oyarzabal · Yamal
- 88’Cucurella
- Dembélé · Cherki⚽104’
- 112’Pedri
Match Info
- Tournament
- FIFA World Cup 2026
- Stage
- Semi-final
- Date
- 14 Jul 2026
- Kick-off
- 19:00 (local)
- Stadium
- AT&T Stadium
- City
- Arlington
Pressing & Heat Zones
Counter-attacking, low-mid block with explosive transitions through Mbappé and Dembélé
High possession, sustained territorial control with overloads down the right via Yamal
4-3-34-3-3France subs
- 24Rayan Cherki
- 9Marcus Thuram
- 18Warren Zaïre-Emery
- 12Bradley Barcola
- 15Ibrahima Konaté
- 21Lucas Hernandez
- 1Brice Samba
Spain subs
- 10Dani Olmo
- 11Ferran Torres
- 18Mikel Merino
- 7Gavi
- 4Martín Zubimendi
- 24Álex Grimaldo
- 13David Raya
A classic tournament clash of styles: Spain's possession machine against France's lethal transition game. Spain controlled the ball and territory through Rodri, Pedri and Zubimendi, pinning France deep — but Deschamps' side were content to absorb and strike. Mbappé's 23rd-minute breakaway, set up by Dembélé, gave France the lead against the run of play. Spain pressed relentlessly and finally levelled when Yamal's cutback found Oyarzabal at the back post in the 78th. With the game heading toward penalties, Cherki's introduction tilted extra time, and his slipped pass let Dembélé curl home the winner on 104. Maignan's saves and the Saliba–Upamecano wall held firm through a frantic finish.
- Spain dominated possession (58%) but France's transitions carried sharper xG per shot
- Mbappé struck first on the counter; Oyarzabal forced extra time off a Yamal cutback
- Dembélé's 104th-minute winner decided a heavyweight semi-final
- France reach a third final in four World Cups despite being out-passed
Match Report
Under the closed roof at AT&T Stadium, Spain were the better side for long stretches — La Roja stroked the ball around with 91% accuracy and Lamine Yamal tormenting Théo Hernandez down the right. But France struck with ruthless efficiency. On 23 minutes Dembélé sprang the press and released Mbappé, who outpaced Cubarsí and finished low past Unai Simón. Spain laid siege after the break; Pedri and Baena probed, and the equaliser came on 78 when Yamal jinked to the byline and cut back for Oyarzabal to sweep home. Both sides traded blows late, Maignan denying Ferran Torres at the death to force extra time. In the 104th minute, substitute Rayan Cherki threaded Dembélé in behind, and the PSG man bent a left-footed finish into the far corner. Spain threw everyone forward but France held on to reach the final.